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Global Coal Consumption Grows After Three Years of Decline

The rise is attributed to Asian nations, particularly India and China, where coal-power plants are newer than in the West. It shows a growing disconnect between energy and climate goals, warned the International Energy Agency.
November 6, 2018, 11am PST | Irvin Dawid
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"Fatih Birol, head of the International Energy Agency (IEA), said the growth of coal-fired power in Asia was worrying because the new plants would 'lock in the emissions trajectory of the world, full stop',” report Leslie Hook, David Sheppard and Myles McCormick. The average age of Asian coal plants is 11 years, compared to Western coal plants averaging 42 years. Worse yet, despite being newer, many are less efficient than those used in Europe and the U.S.

“How we are going to deal with this problem is for me the nerve centre of the climate change debate today,” Mr Birol told the Financial Times, adding that the data on energy consumption is moving in “close to the opposite direction” of climate targets.

Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions ticked up 1.4 per cent last year, following several years of staying flat, and are set to rise again in 2018 owing to greater demand for fossil fuels. Asia accounted for two-thirds of the growth in emissions last year.

By contrast, emissions decreased last year in the U.S. by 2.7 percent, largely due to a 4.5 percent decrease in power plant emissions as coal-burning plants shuttered.

Last year China’s coal-fired power generation grew 4 per cent, while India’s rose 13 per cent, according to IEA data. The rate of investment in the construction of new coal-fired power plants, however, also slowed down last year, according to the agency.

Mr Birol said the Asian coal plants were a crucial reason why renewable energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions were both increasing at the same time. “It’s one of the blind spots of the climate change discussion,” he said.

BP's "Statistical Review of World Energy," released in June, confirms the IEA data.

"The opening of new coal-fired power plants in India and China drove coal consumption higher by 1 percent, highlighting the difficulties developing economies face in meeting demand for electricity while fighting pollution," reported Ron Bousso for Reuters on June 13 on the BP report [pdf].

Page 13 lists coal consumption by country. China's consumption peaked in 2013 and dropped every year until 2017. [Also see "related" posts below.] India, on the other hand, has increased consumption every year since 2007.

[T]he share of [global] coal in power generation today remains around 38 percent, practically unchanged since 1997, while the share of non-fossil fuels slightly dipped as nuclear power capacity shrunk, BP Chief Economist Spencer Dale said.

“This is really worrying,” Dale told reporters in a briefing before the report was released. “How much progress have we made in 20 years? None.”

A final grim note: Feng Hao of China Dialog reports that "CoalSwarm published a report [pdf] on September 26 warning that 259 gigawatts of coal power capacity – equivalent to the entire coal power fleet of the United States – is being built in China despite government policies restricting new builds."

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Published on Tuesday, October 30, 2018 in Financial Times
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