When Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, Russian President Vladimir Putin hoped to quickly redraw national boundary lines in Eastern Europe. The region's energy infrastructure, particularly pipelines carrying natural gas, may change sooner.
The Russia-Ukraine war took a westward turn on April 26 when Russian President Vladimir Putin announced that he would suspend deliveries of natural gas from Western Siberia to Poland and Bulgaria. The European energy war had begun.
A month earlier, the European Commission had proposed an outline of a new energy plan called REPowerEU “to make Europe independent from Russian fossil fuels well before 2030, starting with gas, in light of Russia's invasion of Ukraine,” stated the March 8 press release.
Just over two months later, the European Commission “presented its €300 billion plan on how the EU can wean itself from Russian fossil fuels ’well before 2030,’” wrote Zosia Wanat and America Hernandez for POLITICO Europe on May 18.
The plan, called REPowerEU, is a package of documents, including legal acts, recommendations, guidelines and strategies, that fleshes out a communication published in March. It's based on four pillars: saving energy, substituting Russian gas with other fossil fuels, boosting green energy and financing new infrastructure like pipelines and liquefied natural gas terminals.
In this post, we take a look at that last item, also the most difficult energy undertaking: ending European reliance on Russian gas. As Wanat and Hernandez wrote, new gas pipeline interconnectors and liquefied natural gas (LNG) are key to that effort.
Poland and Lithuania (GIPL)
The 580-kilometers (360-mile) Poland-Lithuania Gas Connector (GIPL) was formally commissioned on May 5, “boosting energy security in the region by connecting the Baltic and Finnish with the Polish markets,” notes the European Commission's press release.
The interconnector already allows Lithuanian LNG to flow to Poland, which is so important in the current geopolitical context. The project strengthens the energy independence of the region and increases the possibilities of using the Klaipėda LNG terminal in Lithuania and the Świnoujście LNG Terminal in Poland.
Not all LNG terminals are alike
The terminal in Klaipėda, Lithuania's third largest city, is what is known as a floating storage and regasification unit (FSRU) terminal enabling operation to begin much sooner than a conventional terminal. In fact, it's an actual vessel, the FSRU Independence.
“The GIPL gas pipeline is a milestone in the history of the development of energy independence between Lithuania and Poland,” said Nemunas Biknius, the CEO of Lithuania's main gas grid operator, Amber Grid, as reported by EURACTIV on May 6.
“Having the possibility to import and export gas through the interconnector, Lithuania and Poland have increased not only their own energy security but also that of the Baltic States and Finland,” Biknius commented.
Finland joins the ’banned’ club
The connection to Finland can not come soon enough. On May 21, St. Petersburg-based Gazprom, “the largest publicly listed natural gas company in the world” per Wikipedia, halted gas exports to Finland “in the latest escalation of an energy payments dispute with Western nations,” reported Reuters.
The majority of gas used in Finland comes from Russia but gas only accounts for about 5% of its annual energy consumption.
Greece-Bulgaria (IGB) Pipeline
Bulgaria, which had its Russian gas cut off on April 27 along with Poland, will soon be receiving gas from Azerbaijan (located at the boundary of Eastern Europe and Western Asia, per Wikipedia) by way of the Gas Interconnector Greece-Bulgaria (IGB) Pipeline that will open next month.
“The Gas Interconnector between Greece and Bulgaria is in line with the joint EU strategy for market-based security of supply,” reported EURACTIV on May 16.
It is linked to the Southern Gas Corridor, a European Commission-supported initiative that aims to reduce Europe’s dependency on Russian gas and add diverse energy supply sources.
The pipeline aims to tap gas from Azerbaijan and will also carry gas from Greece’s liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal. Bulgaria is expected to import one bcm [billion cubic meters] of gas from Azerbaijan per year, which is almost one-third of its annual consumption.
“It's a new world”
Addressing the new natural gas sources and connectors, Simone Tagliapietra, an energy expert at the Brussels-based think tank Bruegel, told Derek Gatopoulos of The Associated Press in his article on the new Greece-to-Bulgaria pipeline connection published April 29:
“It’s a new world,” he said. “And in this new world, it’s clear that Russia doesn’t want to be part of an international order as we think of it.”
“The strategy — particularly by Germany — over the last 50 years was always one of engaging with Russia on energy. ... But given what we are seeing in Ukraine and given Russia’s view of international relations, it’s not the kind of country with which we would like to do business.”
Europe's Green Deal
The final word goes to European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen (quoted in the source article):
“REPowerEU will help us to save more energy, to accelerate phasing out of fossil fuel and most importantly to kick start investment on a new scale. This will be the speed charging of our European Green Deal.”
- U.S. to Help European Union Achieve Energy Security (first mention of REPowerEU), April 3, 2022
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