How Sea Level Rise Will Change the Country's Geography

In a worst case scenario, generated by a new study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, land home to 25 million Americans will be lost to rising seas as a result of climate change.

2 minute read

October 15, 2015, 5:00 AM PDT

By James Brasuell @CasualBrasuell


Aerial views during an Army search and rescue mission show damage from Hurricane Sandy to the New Jersey coast, Oct. 30, 2012.

Master Sgt. Mark C. Olsen / Wikimedia Commons

Chris Mooney shares news of a study that details the land on the coast of the United States that will be inundated by sea water as the effects of climate change become more and more cemented into the environment. "Future emissions will determine which areas we can continue to occupy or may have to abandon," according to the report.

Many U.S. cities are "committed to futures below sea level," if climate change continues unchecked. The critical number that drives the study's estimates: "For every one degree Celsius of warming, the scientists estimate that we should expect 2.3 meters of long-term, eventual sea-level rise, playing out over millennia."

Benjamin Strauss of Climate Central in Princeton, N.J. led the study, with co-authors Scott Kulp of Climate Central and Anders Levermann of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany.

So according to the study's calculations, if the world were to continue with business as usual and suffer the consequences of the sea level rise that would follow, "the current locations of over 26 million Americans’ homes might be inundated, and more than 1,500 U.S. cities and municipalities could find the areas where half of the residents live inundated." For those doing the quick math at home, that's more people than live in each of 48 states in the United States—all but California and Texas.

Climate Central has an interactive map that shows how the country's geography would change in various scenarios of increased temperatures and corresponding sea levels.

A similar study, released last year, targeted Anchorage, Seattle, and Detroit as prime real estate after the seas come for the country's current coastal communities.

Monday, October 12, 2015 in The Washington Post

portrait of professional woman

I love the variety of courses, many practical, and all richly illustrated. They have inspired many ideas that I've applied in practice, and in my own teaching. Mary G., Urban Planner

I love the variety of courses, many practical, and all richly illustrated. They have inspired many ideas that I've applied in practice, and in my own teaching.

Mary G., Urban Planner

Get top-rated, practical training

Close-up of "Apartment for rent" sign in red text on black background in front of blurred building

Trump Administration Could Effectively End Housing Voucher Program

Federal officials are eyeing major cuts to the Section 8 program that helps millions of low-income households pay rent.

April 21, 2025 - Housing Wire

Logo for Planetizen Federal Action Tracker with black and white image of U.S. Capitol with water ripple overlay.

Planetizen Federal Action Tracker

A weekly monitor of how Trump’s orders and actions are impacting planners and planning in America.

April 30, 2025 - Diana Ionescu

Close-up on Canadian flag with Canada Parliament building blurred in background.

Canada vs. Kamala: Whose Liberal Housing Platform Comes Out on Top?

As Canada votes for a new Prime Minister, what can America learn from the leading liberal candidate of its neighbor to the north?

April 28, 2025 - Benjamin Schneider

Washington

Washington State’s Parking Reform Law Could Unlock ‘Countless’ Acres for New Housing

A law that limits how much parking cities can require for residential amd commercial developments could lead to a construction boom.

7 hours ago - Streetsblog USA

Bluebird sitting on branch of green bush.

Wildlife Rebounds After the Eaton Fire

Following the devastation of the Eaton Fire, the return of wildlife and the regrowth of native plants are offering powerful signs of resilience and renewal.

May 1 - AP News

1984 Olympics

LA to Replace Inglewood Light Rail Project With Bus Shuttles

LA Metro says the change is in response to community engagement and that the new design will be ready before the 2028 Olympic Games.

May 1 - Newsweek

Urban Design for Planners 1: Software Tools

This six-course series explores essential urban design concepts using open source software and equips planners with the tools they need to participate fully in the urban design process.

Planning for Universal Design

Learn the tools for implementing Universal Design in planning regulations.