Oil Drilling Myths Exposed By Paul Krugman

New York Times economics writer and Nobel laureate Paul Krugman analyzes two major reasons for increasing oil drilling - reducing unemployment and lowering gas prices, and describes why it does neither.

2 minute read

March 20, 2012, 5:00 AM PDT

By Irvin Dawid


Paul Krugman asserts, "The irony here is that these claims (of reducing oil prices and unemployment) come just as events are confirming what everyone who did the math already knew, namely, that U.S. energy policy has very little effect either on oil prices or on overall U.S. employment".

Acknowledging how fracking has increased both oil and natural gas production, he also notes that the increased natural gas supply has caused those prices to plummet, yet oil prices continue to rise.

Krugman repeats what others have stated - oil is priced on international markets, while natural gas prices are set domestically. Factors outside of supply and demand are at work, including rising demand from China and Mideast tensions that raise the price due to speculation. However, Krugman himself argued against blaming speculators for the rapid increase in oil prices in June, 2008.

Next, Krugman turns to what is now the third largest oil producing state, North Dakota, having just replaced California where oil production is on the wane. North Dakota enjoys the nation's lowest unemployment rate, largely attributed to the booming oil drilling in the Bakken shale rock formation.

"I have to admit that I started laughing when I saw the Wall Street Journal offering North Dakota as a role model. Yes, the oil boom there has pushed unemployment down to 3.2 percent, but that's only possible because the whole state has fewer residents than metropolitan Albany.

The comparable-sized fracking boom in Pennsylvania has had hardly any effect on the state's overall employment picture, because, in the end, not that many jobs are involved."

Thanks to Kenyon Karl

Thursday, March 15, 2012 in The New York Times - The Opinion Pages

"Planetizen federal action tracker" logo superimposed over black and white image of US Capitol dome.

Planetizen Federal Action Tracker

A weekly monitor of how Trump’s orders and actions are impacting planners and planning in America.

October 28, 2026 - Zachary Whalen

A car drives through a puddle, making a large splash. Rain pours down.

California plans to bury El Niño’s downpour

If the state plays its cards right, it may be able to store a billion acre-feet of El Niño’s water in aquifers.

October 28, 2026 - Grist

Lake Powell with much of the water evaporated.

Desperate measures: Advocates weigh draining Lake Powell to fill Colorado River

Draining the reservoir could reduce evaporation losses by a couple hundred thousand acre-feet.

October 30, 2026 - Yale Environment 360

A Firefighter sprays water from a hose at a tall blaze.

US buildings threatened, destroyed by fires set to triple by 2060

Researchers found a high fire risk for socioeconomically vulnerable neighborhoods in the American West.

November 4 - Inside Climate News

People cross a crosswalk in Los Angeles.

LA residents may be allowed to paint their own crosswalks

Councilwoman Katy Yaroslavsky put out a motion instructing the Los Angeles Department of Public Transportation to study the feasibility of allowing volunteers to paint crosswalks.

November 4 - ABC7

Two women walking on the sidewalk in Dallas.

Dallas moves to overhaul its zoning code

The city's zoning reform will allow more multi-family and mixed-use developments.

November 4 - Yahoo News