California's Energy Reality Check

Is California ready for an all-electric future? The California energy grid barely withstood its biggest test during last week's heat wave as residents cranked up their air conditioners. CalMatters columnist Dan Walters questions if the grid is ready.

3 minute read

September 14, 2022, 12:00 PM PDT

By Irvin Dawid


Last Tuesday, when power consumption peaked in the late afternoon, renewable sources, principally solar panels, supplied just over a quarter of [California Independent System Operator]-managed juice, while plants powered by natural gas were producing nearly half,” writes Dan Walters for CalMatters. “Later, as the sun began to set, solar arrays generated steadily less power, finally tapering off to zero, while the gas plants’ share of the load increased rapidly.”

Walters, who covered state politics for decades for The Sacramento Bee, is particularly focused on state energy legislation that would accelerate the transition to 100 percent clean electricity.

By happenstance, Tuesday’s test of the power grid’s resilience came just a few days after the Legislature passed – at Gov. Gavin Newsom’s behest – legislation to speed up California’s conversion to a carbon-free electrical grid by 2045. So the day’s experience provided a graphic snapshot of what must to happen for that conversion to occur.

The legislation, Senate Bill 1020 [additional description here], requires that California get 90% of its power from renewable sources by 2035 – the same year the state is now scheduled to end sales of gasoline-powered cars – and 95% by 2040 while retaining the 2045 deadline for converting to a carbon-free electrical grid [see SB 100].

Kathleen Ronayne, a Sacramento-based reporter for The Associated Press, also took note of the grid's reliance on natural gas during last Tuesday's record energy demand, calling it a ’fossil fuel conundrum’ in light of the state's green goals.

“We all want to accelerate the elimination of the gas, but it’s a sober reminder of reality,” Gov. Gavin Newsom told reporters on Wednesday (Sept. 7.).

Last Tuesday was indeed a reality test for the state's power grid operator. Requiring a faster transition to all-renewable power sources will undoubtedly make the current challenge more formidable.

“Is California really up the task that the new legislation mandates, a very expensive, relatively rapid conversion and expansion of this immensely complicated and absolutely vital thing we call the grid?” asks Walters in the third paragraph before the end of his column.

Recent history is not reassuring. This is a state government that took a quarter-century to replace one third of the San Francisco-Oakland Bay Bridge after the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake, has been futzing around with a bullet train project for 14 years with little progress, and has dozens of bollixed information technology projects.

Electric power transformation would be infinitely more difficult than any of those.

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