Analysis of Trump's favorability ratings with suburban voters and the demographic trends of recent years could doom his recent messages regarding the Democratic agenda for the suburbs.
Since President Trump recently attacked and eventually scrapped the Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing rule in a move that has been derided as a racist and divisive political stunt that seems unaware of the administration's previous actions, some media commentators have also noted the political shortcomings of Trump's new ploy for the suburbs: the suburbs aren't what they used to be, but not in the way that Trump means it.
Analysis by Emily Badger and Nate Cohn provides data driven analysis of the shifting demographics of the suburbs, finding support for many of the social causes sparking Trump's ire of late. The analysis relies on recent innovations in distinguishing between suburban and urban, based on survey data generated by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, which in turn expanded on previous survey research by Trulia.
As noted by Badger and Cohn, Trump has been "[playing] on the perceived fears of suburban voters. But there are several reasons to believe that a strategy that worked for Richard Nixon on the heels of urban unrest in 1968 is less likely to be effective for Donald Trump in 2020."
According to data shared by Badger, broken down on the geographic definitions generated by HUD's recent survey, "while polling shows that suburban voters disapprove of the president’s job in general, they disapprove even more of his handling of the very issues he is trying to elevate."
Additional commentators have cited this New York Times analysis to echo the idea that suburban voters aren't following the same political patterns as they did at the end of the 20th century: Eric Levitz for New York magazine and Ronald Brownstein for CNN.
In another article that predates Badger and Cohn's analysis, Jamelle Bouie argues that Trump's political error originates from a slightly different, but relate kind of demographic misunderstanding: that the silent majority, as it existed for Nixon in 1969. Like the suburbs, the silent majority has changed. They are both more diverse, and less likely to support Trump than ever.
Planning for Congestion Relief
The third and final installment of Planetizen's examination of the role of the planning profession in both perpetuating and solving traffic congestion.
Minneapolis Housing Plan a Success—Not for the Reason You Think
Housing advocates praise the city’s move to eliminate single-family zoning by legalizing triplexes on single-family lots, but that isn’t why housing construction is growing.
New White House Housing Initiative Includes Zoning Reform Incentives
The Biden administration this morning released a new program of actions intended to spur housing construction around the United States.
Study: Most of Vancouver Is a ‘15-Minute City’
A large majority of Vancouver residents can access a grocery store in 15 minutes or less by bicycle or on foot.
Urban Design, Transport, and Health
The Lancet medical journal published a series of articles that explore how to evaluate and guide urban planning decisions to create healthy and sustainable cities. Live long and prosper!
Detroit Bike Share Celebrates Five Years
In its five years of operation, Detroit’s MoGo bikeshare has added electric and adaptive bikes to its fleet of more than 600 bikes.
City of Redwood City
City of Rohnert Park
City of Hot Springs
This six-course series explores essential urban design concepts using open source software and equips planners with the tools they need to participate fully in the urban design process.