Report: Last-Mile Deliveries to Increase 78% by 2030

A new report from the World Economic Forum predicts dire consequences for congestion and carbon emissions if e-commerce delivery services proliferate unchecked.

1 minute read

January 29, 2020, 8:00 AM PST

By James Brasuell @CasualBrasuell


New York Bike Delivery

Sarah Marchant / Shutterstock

Emma Cosgrove shares news of a new study predicting a 78 percent increase in last-mile deliveries by 2030. The report, published by the World Economic Forum, also provides recommendations for ensuring that such a rush of new vehicle trips won't overwhelm cities.

"The best scenario, according to WEF, is one that takes into account the carriers' interest in fewer disruptions and faster deliveries alongside cities' desire for lower emissions and less congestion," explains Cosgrove. "This combined scenario would include electric vehicles, night deliveries, multi-brand parcel lockers, dynamic re-routing and load pooling. These interventions could reduce emissions by 35%, unit costs by 15% and congestion by 25%, according to the report."

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