Why Infrastructure Spending isn't Always the Answer

China's stimulus plan is aimed at funding more of what the country already has enough of: infrastructure. What's needed is social spending and for citizens to have more of a stake in the economy, argues Zhiwu Chen.

1 minute read

November 29, 2008, 11:00 AM PST

By Michael Dudley


"As we digest the implications of China's $586-billion (U.S.) stimulus plan, it is intriguing to ponder why Beijing chooses infrastructure, buildings, and big projects every time growth needs a boost. Should, or can, it achieve long-term growth only by adding physical structures? If and when the time comes to pause or change course, will China's existing political-economic institutions accommodate such a transformation?

[W]hile China's new stimulus plan overwhelmingly emphasizes infrastructure, it gives short shrift to social programs, such as health care and education, even though they can reduce household saving pressure and increase private consumption.

China has decent infrastructure, impressive buildings, and an excessive industrial base. What is missing is sufficient private consumption to power endogenous growth. To correct this, China needs to boost its people's sense of future financial security and affect a rise in private income commensurate with GDP growth. Building a nation demands more than steel and concrete."

Wednesday, November 26, 2008 in The Globe and Mail

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