Mike Davis On The Future Of The World's Megacities

Author Mike Davis offers a "future history" of the Third World’s post-industrial megacities.

1 minute read

March 29, 2005, 11:00 AM PST

By Chris Steins @planetizen


"The earth has urbanized even faster than originally predicted by the Club of Rome in its notoriously Malthusian 1972 report, Limits of Growth. In 1950 there were 86 cities in the world with a population over one million; today there are 400, and by 2015, there will be at least 550. Cities, indeed, have absorbed nearly two-thirds of the global population explosion since 1950 and are currently growing by a million babies and migrants each week. The present urban population (3.2 billion) is larger than the total population of the world in 1960. The global countryside, meanwhile, has reached its maximum population (3.2 billion) and will begin to shrink after 2020. As a result, cities will account for all future world population growth, which is expected to peak at about 10 billion in 2050.

...But if megacities are the brightest stars in the urban firmament, three-quarters of the burden of population growth will be borne by faintly visible second-tier cities and smaller urban areas: places where, as un researchers emphasize, 'there is little or no planning to accommodate these people or provide them with services.' "

Thanks to Keith Pezzoli

Monday, March 28, 2005 in New Left Review

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