A Grim Financial Outlook for Transit Agencies

Transit ridership will likely remain below pre-pandemic levels through 2024, according to analysts.

1 minute read

February 16, 2024, 5:00 AM PST

By Diana Ionescu @aworkoffiction


Empty interior of New York City bus with blue seating.

haeun / Adobe Stock

The public transit sector continues to struggle as federal emergency funding runs out and ridership in many systems remains low, reports Brett Rowland in The Daily Record.“Ridership was at 77% of pre-pandemic levels with significant variances between U.S. regions and modes of transit,” according to Rowland.

According to a report from S&P Global Ratings, “Heavy regional commuter rail-only systems still face lower ridership due to remote work trends while bus and subway systems serving cities and metropolitan areas have performed better.” The report adds, “We still expect public transit ridership will recover to only about 85% of pre-pandemic levels by 2026 under our base case and 80% under our downside case.”

Overall, transit agencies must contend with lower fare revenue and find new, sustainable funding sources. “Identifying such a model to meet operating and long-term capital needs remains an ongoing topic of debate, setting up key decisions in the coming months that will pit service levels against available resources for 2024 and beyond.”

Wednesday, February 14, 2024 in The Daily Record

Young Professional

I love the variety of courses, many practical, and all richly illustrated. They have inspired many ideas that I've applied in practice, and in my own teaching. Mary G., Urban and Environmental Planner

I love the variety of courses, many practical, and all richly illustrated. They have inspired many ideas that I've applied in practice, and in my own teaching.

Mary G., Urban and Environmental Planner

Get top-rated, practical training for planners

Overlapping highways

The state-sanctioned urbicide of Austin

People don’t kill cities. Freeways do.

September 8, 2026 - Benjamin Schneider

The Hoover Dam blocking the Colorado River. The river's water level is noticeably low. The cliffs surrounding the blue water are brown and jagged.

US to reduce Colorado River water deliveries to Mexico

A new Colorado Treaty amendment reduces Mexico’s Colorado River water allocation by 250,000 acre feet.

September 11, 2026 - The Arizona Republic

Skyscrapers in Jersey City.

New Jersey’s second-largest city bans standalone data centers

Jersey City will continue to allow co-location facilities, such as those meant for research institutions that store their own data.

September 4, 2026 - The Cool Down

A New Jersey train approaches people waiting at the station.

Amtrak not solely to blame for New Jersey commuter rail's unreliability, report finds

A new study from the Garden State Initiative found that NJ Transit’s budget grew 20% across a 4 year period, but reliability declined significantly over the same period.

September 15 - Mass Transit

A tall, gray power plant billows smoke into a blue sky.

EPA erases limits on planet-warming pollution from power plants

Under Monday’s plan, power plants would still have some limits on how much mercury, arsenic and other contaminants they can emit.

September 15 - New York Times

A white RAPID bus. The lower half is light blue, and says RAPID in purple text. The bus is half visible, appearing from the left side of the image.

Phoenix announces new on-demand transit service, more frequent RAPID buses

Both new services will launch in October, and are part of Phoenix's Project Effective Access Solutions for Easing Congestion.

September 15 - KJZZ

FREE Course: Walkable City 1: Why Walkability?

After describing his path towards focusing on walkability as the essence of good planning, Jeff Speck marches through his five principal reasons for making more walkable places.

Reinventing Malls: Planning Alchemy—Turning Gray Fields Into Gold

The course focuses on the opportunities and imperatives that shape reinvention of mall sites.