Why Cities Matter, part 4

I've been talking about Democratic margins in cities, but check out this exit poll analysis from CJR Campaign Desk: [T]he category in which Bush showed the most significant gains over the year 2000 was urban voters (who made up 30 percent of all voters), among whom Bush polled 9 percentage points better than in 2000. Bush did even better among voters in the largest cities, picking up 12 points on his 2000 performance. On the other hand, the New York Times has a bunch of maps on the back page of its special Election section today (which I can't find a link to; sorry) says that Kerry's margins in cities were actually much larger than Bush's margins in rural areas.

1 minute read

November 4, 2004, 1:09 PM PST

By Anonymous


I've been talking about Democratic margins in cities, but check out this exit poll analysis from CJR Campaign Desk:

[T]he category in which Bush showed the most significant gains over the year 2000 was urban voters (who made up 30 percent of all voters), among whom Bush polled 9 percentage points better than in 2000. Bush did even better among voters in the largest cities, picking up 12 points on his 2000 performance.

On the other hand, the New York Times has a bunch of maps on the back page of its special Election section today (which I can't find a link to; sorry) says that Kerry's margins in cities were actually much larger than Bush's margins in rural areas. But they seem to be comparing the size of the vote-counts instead of the percentages -- that is, the Times gives the total number of votes by which the candidates won, but not the total number of votes overall. Trying to figure this out as the day goes on.


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