Why Traffic Never Gets Better

Despite abundant research showing that roadway expansions provide limited congestion relief and increase long-term traffic problems, they still occur due to wishful thinking: advocates claim that “this” project is different.

1 minute read

December 12, 2024, 11:00 AM PST

By Todd Litman


Heavy traffic on freeway in San Diego, California.

Hairem / Adobe Stock

Why traffic never gets better,” by David Edmondson is a good discussion of induced vehicle traffic (the additional vehicle travel that results when roadways are expanded), and therefore the futility of using roadway expansions to reduce traffic congestion. “Congestion always wins,” he concludes.

Wider Roads - Faster Driving - More Driving - More Congestion (https://ggwash.org/view/97803/why-traffic-never-gets-better)
Widening roads, driving habits, and congestion form a vicious cycle. 

The Fundamental Law of Traffic Congestion states that unpriced roads will always remain congested due to the phenomenon of induced demand. Induced demand is caused by people driving more, additional truck traffic, additional migration, and people switching onto the widened road. These are all economically beneficial, but the benefits of road widening are because congestion returns to the same level, not because congestion is mitigated.

Roadway widening still occurs because of wishful thinking: either that “this” project will be different, or that the short-term benefits will be worthwhile. Matthew Turner, one of the authors of the 2009 study, put it succinctly in a New York Times story last year.

“If you keep adding lanes because you want to reduce traffic congestion, you have to be really determined not to learn from history,” Turner said.

Tuesday, December 10, 2024 in Greater Greater Washington

portrait of professional woman

I love the variety of courses, many practical, and all richly illustrated. They have inspired many ideas that I've applied in practice, and in my own teaching. Mary G., Urban Planner

I love the variety of courses, many practical, and all richly illustrated. They have inspired many ideas that I've applied in practice, and in my own teaching.

Mary G., Urban Planner

Get top-rated, practical training

Large Walmart store with empty parking lot.

How Smaller Supermarkets Could Transform American Communities

Bigger is not always better.

January 2, 2025 - Marcelo Remond

Large brutalist building and skyscrapers viewed from middle of wide street in downtown Houston, Texas.

Research Links Urban Design and Human Happiness

An emerging field of ‘neuroarchitectural’ research is revealing how building facades and urban design impact the human brain and body.

January 3, 2025 - Wired

Pedestrians in a busy city intersection with a cirty bus passing behind them.

Save Lives on Our Roads Using the Safe System Approach

Prioritizing safety and committing to the SSA framework can make a big impact in the effort to reduce traffic fatalities.

January 1, 2025 - Beth Wemple

Large trees on either side of wide suburban street.

How AI Is Revolutionizing Urban Forestry and Climate Resilience

Tree-D Fusion, an AI-driven tool developed by MIT and Purdue researchers, generates 3D models of urban trees to help city planners visualize future green spaces, address climate challenges, and enhance urban livability and sustainability.

January 13 - Wood Central

Sun seen through red wildfire sky and smoke.

Key Climate and Health Issues to Watch in 2025

The escalating health impacts of climate change, from extreme heat to sea level rise, highlight the urgent need for integrated medical education, proactive communication, and sustainable policy solutions to protect public health.

January 13 - Association of Health Care Journalists

"Danger Extreme Fire Hazard" sign on street sign post below "No Parking" sign.

Rising Temperatures and the Escalating Wildfire Crisis

Rising global temperatures driven by climate change are intensifying and prolonging wildfire seasons worldwide, necessitating improved forest management, public awareness, and urgent action to reduce fossil fuel emissions.

January 12 - DW.com

Urban Design for Planners 1: Software Tools

This six-course series explores essential urban design concepts using open source software and equips planners with the tools they need to participate fully in the urban design process.

Planning for Universal Design

Learn the tools for implementing Universal Design in planning regulations.