A Look at Houston's Demographic Future

Using the Urban Institute's Mapping America's Futures tool, the Kinder Institute overviews likely racial demographics in Texas and elsewhere by 2030.

1 minute read

January 5, 2018, 11:00 AM PST

By Philip Rojc @PhilipRojc


Houston

holbox / Shutterstock

A piece from Rice University's Kinder Institute for Urban Research looks at potential demographic futures in Houston and elsewhere. Its tool of choice: the Urban Institute's interactive Mapping America's Futures interface. Leah Binkovitz writes: "Assuming an average birth rate, death rate and average migration rate, the Houston area is expected to add roughly 2.2 million people between 2010 and 2030. That's a 37.68 percent increase. The area's white population appears pretty flat in this scenario, while the Hispanic population rises steadily above 3 million by 2030."

Under the same parameters, more modest growth is expected from Dallas and Fort Worth, while San Antonio may see a 33.4 percent population increase. Austin's growth may be steeper still, at 46.93 percent. "Outside Texas, Las Vegas, Phoenix, Orlando and Raleigh all showed large projected increases."

On the national level, Hispanic population is set to increase at a rapid clip through 2030. In Houston, the racial group denoted "Other, which refers here to any non-Hispanic, non-white and non-black groups, including American Indians, Asian, Pacific Islanders and other groups," will also see significant growth from relatively low starting numbers. "Under average rate assumptions, that population would grow 117.26 percent between 2010 and 2030, according to the Urban Institute."

Monday, December 18, 2017 in The Urban Edge

Large blank mall building with only two cars in large parking lot.

Pennsylvania Mall Conversion Bill Passes House

If passed, the bill would promote the adaptive reuse of defunct commercial buildings.

April 18, 2024 - Central Penn Business Journal

Street scene in Greenwich Village, New York City with people walking through busy intersection and new WTC tower in background.

Planning for Accessibility: Proximity is More Important than Mobility

Accessibility-based planning minimizes the distance that people must travel to reach desired services and activities. Measured this way, increased density can provide more total benefits than increased speeds.

April 14, 2024 - Todd Litman

Wood-frame two-story rowhouses under construction.

Fair Housing Cannot Take a Back Seat to ‘Build, Baby, Build’

If we overlook fair housing principles in the plan to build US housing back better, we risk ending up right back where we started.

April 11, 2024 - James Jennings

"No 710" lawn sign on green lawn.

LA Metro Board Approves New 710 Freeway Plan

The newest plan for the 710 corridor claims it will not displace any residents.

3 hours ago - Streetsblog LA

Close-up of row of electric cars plugged into chargers at outdoor station.

Austin’s Proposed EV Charging Rules Regulate Station Locations, Size

City planners say the new rules would ensure an efficient distribution of charging infrastructure across the city and prevent an overconcentration in residential areas.

4 hours ago - Austin Monitor

Green hills with orange California poppies in bloom in foreground in Chino Hills State Park, California.

Making California State Parks More Climate-Resilient

A recently released report offers recommendations for keeping state parks healthy and robust, including acquiring additional land for conservation and recreation.

5 hours ago - Spectrum News 1

News from HUD User

HUD's Office of Policy Development and Research

Call for Speakers

Mpact Transit + Community

New Updates on PD&R Edge

HUD's Office of Policy Development and Research

Urban Design for Planners 1: Software Tools

This six-course series explores essential urban design concepts using open source software and equips planners with the tools they need to participate fully in the urban design process.

Planning for Universal Design

Learn the tools for implementing Universal Design in planning regulations.