Will Rising Gas Prices Change Our Behavior?

Anecdotally, the stories are endless -- gas prices are approaching $3 in most of the country (or beyond, in California). Drivers indicate they are trip-linking, carpooling, even taking public transit on occasion, yet demand doesn't subside.

2 minute read

April 11, 2006, 5:00 AM PDT

By Irvin Dawid


"I struggle to adjust to the reality of higher prices," an information technology specialist for the World Bank in Washington, said. "Our lifestyle is designed around the car and cheap gasoline. There's very little we can do about it to reduce our dependency on our automobiles -- between the schools, the children's activities, the soccer practice, and the rest, nothing is within walking distance anymore."

Still, the biggest surprise so far is that high prices seem to have had little impact on driving habits. Gasoline demand, which averaged 9.1 million barrels a day last month, remains very strong; in fact, it is up by 2 percent since January 2004 when oil prices began to rise. Analysts are puzzled.

"The real question is, What will consumers do?" said John Felmy, the chief economist at the American Petroleum Institute, the industry's main trade group. "That's a key part of the equation."

Indeed, refiners have been hard pressed to catch up with rising demand. While refining capacity has increased in recent years, it has been outpaced by the growth in consumption. The domestic capacity is around 17 million barrels of oil a day, but the country consumes some 20.5 million barrels of oil products a day, nearly half of that as gasoline.

To make up the difference, the nation has grown increasingly dependent on imports of a wide range of petroleum products, chief among them gasoline. For example, gasoline imports reached one million barrels a day last year, or nearly 11 percent of the country's daily needs.

Thanks to Mark Boshnack

Saturday, April 8, 2006 in The New York Times

Aerial view of homes on green hillsides in Daly City, California.

Depopulation Patterns Get Weird

A recent ranking of “declining” cities heavily features some of the most expensive cities in the country — including New York City and a half-dozen in the San Francisco Bay Area.

April 10, 2024 - California Planning & Development Report

Large blank mall building with only two cars in large parking lot.

Pennsylvania Mall Conversion Bill Passes House

If passed, the bill would promote the adaptive reuse of defunct commercial buildings.

April 18, 2024 - Central Penn Business Journal

Aerial view of Oakland, California with bay in background

California Exodus: Population Drops Below 39 Million

Never mind the 40 million that demographers predicted the Golden State would reach by 2018. The state's population dipped below 39 million to 38.965 million last July, according to Census data released in March, the lowest since 2015.

April 11, 2024 - Los Angeles Times

Young woman and man seated on subway car looking at phones.

Google Maps Introduces New Transit, EV Features

It will now be easier to find electric car charging stations and transit options.

April 19 - BGR

Ohio state capitol dome against dramatic lightly cloudy sky.

Ohio Lawmakers Propose Incentivizing Housing Production

A proposed bill would take a carrot approach to stimulating housing production through a grant program that would reward cities that implement pro-housing policies.

April 19 - Daytona Daily News

Aerial view of Interstate 290 or Eisenhower Expressway in Chicago, Illinois.

Chicago Awarded $2M Reconnecting Communities Grant

Community advocates say the city’s plan may not do enough to reverse the negative impacts of a major expressway.

April 19 - Streetsblog Chicago

News from HUD User

HUD's Office of Policy Development and Research

Call for Speakers

Mpact Transit + Community

New Updates on PD&R Edge

HUD's Office of Policy Development and Research

Urban Design for Planners 1: Software Tools

This six-course series explores essential urban design concepts using open source software and equips planners with the tools they need to participate fully in the urban design process.

Planning for Universal Design

Learn the tools for implementing Universal Design in planning regulations.