Transportation Predictions for 2023

What does 2023 hold for transportation? The Verge’s Andrew J. Hawkins asked seventeen experts in the field for their predictions.

Doug DeMuro, a car reviewer, predicts that car prices will start to drop significantly. Mike Radenbaugh, founder of Rad Power Bikes, believes more Americans will shift toward a less car-centric lifestyle, and that micromobility will become more accessible—“think three-plus wheel options for better stability, optimized personalization, and options that address the needs of certain people. Plus, networks of service partners will expand so people can easily secure maintenance support.”

Janette Sadik-Khan, former commissioner of the New York City Department of Transportation, along with others, think e-bikes will continue to grow in popularity, with Sadik-Khan predicting that more states and cities will create e-bike subsidies. The Urban Institute’s Yonah Freemark believes there will be a rise in home-office apartment buildings that will include features geared toward remote workers.

Other predictions: pedestrian fatalities will remain high, the AV industry will shrink, and tactical urbanism will become a more important tool for filling the gaps left by governments in basic public services. See the source article for the full list.