Well Intended Housing Tax Could Wreak Havoc in L.A.

A new transfer tax that intends to fund affordable housing might end up crushing Los Angeles's multifamily market—at exactly the wrong time.

1 minute read

May 8, 2023, 12:00 PM PDT

By Josh Stephens @jrstephens310


Large single-family homes on hillside in Los Angeles, California

Sundry Photography / Homes on Los Angeles hillside

“A great many people voted for [Measure] ULA for this very reason—including seasoned real estate folks, who voiced little, if any, opposition to it. A developer friend of mine voted for ULA mainly because the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association opposed it. That's usually a good heuristic if you're pro-development. But the housing crisis has created some strange bedfellows.”



“Contrary to the stereotype of the ‘greedy developer,’ there are probably guys dressed as Spider-Man on Hollywood Boulevard who make more money on a daily basis than many developers do. Their cap rates are thin—in the single-digit percentages--and they often take years to materialize. Even if a developer is willing to tolerate lower margins, fat chance finding a lender who will—especially in what is already a worrying economic climate.”

“Kneecapping the development industry may be fine if (like L.A.'s mayor) you're sick of all the ‘luxury’ residential buildings that have gone up lately. But, if ‘luxury’ buildings are the only projects that pencil out now, then what of working class, ‘missing middle’ housing? That's exactly the type of housing Los Angeles needs.”



“Now, as ever, Los Angeles cannot get out of its own way.”

portrait of professional woman

I love the variety of courses, many practical, and all richly illustrated. They have inspired many ideas that I've applied in practice, and in my own teaching. Mary G., Urban Planner

I love the variety of courses, many practical, and all richly illustrated. They have inspired many ideas that I've applied in practice, and in my own teaching.

Mary G., Urban Planner

Cover CM Credits, Earn Certificates, Push Your Career Forward

Logo for Planetizen Federal Action Tracker with black and white image of U.S. Capitol with water ripple overlay.

Planetizen Federal Action Tracker

A weekly monitor of how Trump’s orders and actions are impacting planners and planning in America.

July 16, 2025 - Diana Ionescu

Green vintage Chicago streetcar from the 1940s parked at the Illinois Railroad Museum in 1988.

Chicago’s Ghost Rails

Just beneath the surface of the modern city lie the remnants of its expansive early 20th-century streetcar system.

July 13, 2025 - WTTV

Blue and silver Amtrak train with vibrant green and yellow foliage in background.

Amtrak Cutting Jobs, Funding to High-Speed Rail

The agency plans to cut 10 percent of its workforce and has confirmed it will not fund new high-speed rail projects.

July 14, 2025 - Smart Cities Dive

Small oundabout with plants on neighborhood street.

Chicago Has Quietly Built Hundreds of Neighborhood Traffic Circles

Thanks largely to one alderperson’s efforts, the city has made mini-roundabouts a key piece of its road safety strategy.

30 minutes ago - WBEZ

White May Mobility self-driving van with Lyft logo with Ponce Public Market sign in background in Atlanta, Georgia.

Atlanta, Dallas Area to Launch Robotaxi Rideshare Fleets

Lyft and Uber will begin including autonomous vehicles in their networks in Atlanta and Arlington, Texas starting later this year.

1 hour ago - Smart Cities Dive

Tunnel for pedestrians, bikes, and buses in Lyon, France lit up with purple lights.

The French Solution to Congested Tunnels: Make Them Car-Free

Bay Area transportation officials keep expanding car capacity. Lyon’s Croix Rousse Tunnel offers a different way.

July 16 - Streetsblog San Francisco