Human Movement, Captured by a 'Very Clear' Mathematical Law

The "universal visitation law of human mobility" documented in a newly published study in Nature offers predictive power for urban mobility in addition to empirical validation of Central Place Theory.

June 3, 2021, 6:00 AM PDT

By James Brasuell @CasualBrasuell


Interior of taxi with driver in Buenos Aires, Argentina

https://www.flickr.com/people/flissphil/ / A Buenos Aires taxi ride.

A study published last week in Nature reveals a "universal visitation law of human mobility" that could enable new ways to predict the way people move in and around cities all over the globe.

An article by Becky Ferreira shares news of the study led by researchers at MIT’s Senseable City Laboratory, who spent years tapping into anonymized mobile phone data in seven cities representing four continents: Greater Boston, USA; Singapore; Dakar, Senegal; Abidjan, Ivory Coast; and the Portuguese cities of Lisbon, Porto and Braga. 

According to Ferreira's explanation, previous mobility research has overlooked "frequency of visitation," which proved to be the key to the advancement in the recent study, namely, the discovery of a "very clear" mathematical law that offers a universal visitation law of human mobility.

Ferreira summarizes the finding thusly:

Despite the dazzlingly distinct skylines, demographics, and characters of the studied cities, the researchers found that their residents and visitors all adhered to this universal visitation law, as described in the study: “the number of visitors to any location decreases as the inverse square of the product of their visiting frequency and travel distance.” 

Of tremendous relevance to planners, "the new approach can provide more accurate predictions about all kinds of urban exchanges and encounters." 

Ferreira also reports another consequences of the study's discover of the universal visitation law of human mobility: "The new law also provides empirical validation for established theories about human mobility such as the Central Place Theory, which suggests that people visit the closest possible location for their needs or wants, leading to distinct clusters within settlements." 

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