Potential Impacts Of Recession And Terrorism On U.S. Cities

This paper by Alice Rivlin and Alan Berube attempts to shed light on the concerns of the combined impact of the recession and ongoing terrorist threats on the health of cities.
January 25, 2002, 2pm PST | Abhijeet Chavan | @legalaidtech
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Many urban residents and city officials are worried that the combined impact of the recession and ongoing terrorist threats may have a devastating effect on the health of cities. This paper attempts to shed light on these concerns by examining the impact of the last two recessions on large cities, by exploring recent trends that may affect the vulnerability of cities in the current recession, and by speculating on the long-term effects of terrorism on urban centers. The analysis is relatively reassuring about the short-term prospects for cities in the recession; the economic and social health of individual cities will depend on their industrial makeup and state-level spending decisions. Over the long term, the paper posits that fears of terrorism will play, at most, a small role in determining the fate of cities as employment and residential centers.

Thanks to Kurt Sommer

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Published on Thursday, January 24, 2002 in The Brookings Institution
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