Record U.S. Oil Production Assures Low Gas Prices Through 2016

Oil prices plummeted 60 percent since last summer, yet American crude output will reach a record this year according to the Energy Information Administration's Fall Short-Term Energy Outlook. Gas prices will drop about 35 cents this year.

1 minute read

June 14, 2015, 5:00 AM PDT

By Irvin Dawid


"Total U.S. crude oil production is expected to average 9.4 million barrels a day this year and 9.3 million barrels a day for 2016, the EIA report said," writes Rick Jervis of USA Today on the outlook. "Those are higher estimates than the EIA released last month."

What's remarkable about the record output—"highest for any month since 1972", is that it is occurring after a huge drop in oil prices.

The price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude has ricocheted from more than $100 last summer to $40 in January to $60 this week [and forecasted] to average $55 a barrel this year and $62 a barrel in 2016, according to the report.

"The numbers run counter to conventional thinking that lower oil prices would severely drive down U.S. production," writes Jervis. In fact, energy companies are reducing drilling - fewer rigs are in service, but they've become more efficient and productive with the remaining ones.

One result of the record crude production is that gasoline prices will remain relatively low through 2016. "The EIA expects monthly average gasoline prices to decline the rest of the year, averaging $2.43 a gallon during the second half of 2015," writes Jervis. According to the AAA, gas prices average $2.78 on June 12.

Tuesday, June 9, 2015 in USA Today

portrait of professional woman

I love the variety of courses, many practical, and all richly illustrated. They have inspired many ideas that I've applied in practice, and in my own teaching. Mary G., Urban Planner

I love the variety of courses, many practical, and all richly illustrated. They have inspired many ideas that I've applied in practice, and in my own teaching.

Mary G., Urban Planner

Cover CM Credits, Earn Certificates, Push Your Career Forward

Logo for Planetizen Federal Action Tracker with black and white image of U.S. Capitol with water ripple overlay.

Planetizen Federal Action Tracker

A weekly monitor of how Trump’s orders and actions are impacting planners and planning in America.

June 11, 2025 - Diana Ionescu

Metrorail train pulling into newly opened subterranean station in Washington, D.C. with crowd on platform taking photos.

Congressman Proposes Bill to Rename DC Metro “Trump Train”

The Make Autorail Great Again Act would withhold federal funding to the system until the Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority (WMATA), rebrands as the Washington Metropolitan Authority for Greater Access (WMAGA).

June 2, 2025 - The Hill

Large crowd on street in San Francisco, California during Oktoberfest festival.

The Simple Legislative Tool Transforming Vacant Downtowns

In California, Michigan and Georgia, an easy win is bringing dollars — and delight — back to city centers.

June 2, 2025 - Robbie Silver

Color-coded map of labor & delivery departments and losses in United States.

The States Losing Rural Delivery Rooms at an Alarming Pace

In some states, as few as 9% of rural hospitals still deliver babies. As a result, rising pre-term births, no adequate pre-term care and "harrowing" close calls are a growing reality.

June 15 - Maine Morning Star

Street scene in Kathmandu, Nepal with yellow minibuses and other traffic.

The Small South Asian Republic Going all in on EVs

Thanks to one simple policy change less than five years ago, 65% of new cars in this Himalayan country are now electric.

June 15 - Fast Company

Bike lane in Washington D.C. protected by low concrete barriers.

DC Backpedals on Bike Lane Protection, Swaps Barriers for Paint

Citing aesthetic concerns, the city is removing the concrete barriers and flexposts that once separated Arizona Avenue cyclists from motor vehicles.

June 15 - The Washington Post