What Will Fuel Your Motor Vehicle in 10 Years?
According to the press release from the Fuels Institute, "For light-duty vehicles (passenger vehicles and light trucks), gasoline-powered vehicles will continue to dominate the market, although overall market share could decline from 93% in 2012 to as low as 82% of vehicle inventories in 2023."
The report [PDF] could be perceived as a bit of a mixed message, assuring purveyors of "conventional fuels" they have little to fear and manufacturers of alternative vehicles that progress is being made.
“On the surface, it may not seem that significant change is occurring, because gasoline and diesel fuel-powered vehicles will continue to dominate the vehicle fleet in 2023, but alternatives are gaining traction,” said John Eichberger, executive director of the Fuels Institute.
In any case, alternative vehicle manufacturers have their work cut out for them. "Given that there are more than 250 million vehicles on the road today, it will take years of strong sales of alternative fuel vehicles to reshape the country’s vehicle fleet," the release states.
The report studies vehicles powered by "flexible fuel" or E85 (ethanol), natural gas, propane, battery-electric, and fuel cells.
The press release indicates that "(t)he Fuels Institute, founded by the National Association of Convenience Stores (NACS), is a non-profit, research-oriented think-tank dedicated to evaluating the market issues related to consumer vehicles and the fuels that power them."
"We need to ask — and answer — some tough questions so that the vehicles and fueling markets can develop together and convert consumers to new type of vehicles, said Eichberger.”
What may be of equal, or even greater concern to the businesses selling motor vehicle fuels is the reduced volume of gasoline and diesel sold, a result of both a decline in driving and increased fuel efficiency.