US buildings threatened, destroyed by fires set to triple by 2060

Researchers found a high fire risk for socioeconomically vulnerable neighborhoods in the American West.

1 minute read

November 4, 2026, 9:00 AM PST

By Zachary Whalen


A Firefighter sprays water from a hose at a tall blaze.

On the current trajectory, fires may destroy 1 billion hectares of land in the American West. | DBrownPhotos

By 2060, the number of buildings threatened by wildfires in the United States could nearly triple, according to new research from the University of Colorado Boulder’s Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences. On the current trajectory, the West could see 1 billion hectares of land destroyed and the East could see a five-fold increase in burned areas, Jake Bolster writes for Inside Climate News.

The researchers also found a high fire risk for socioeconomically vulnerable neighborhoods in the American West. “With fast-moving fires increasingly pushing into urban spaces, [Virginia Iglesias, the paper’s lead author] said that socioeconomically vulnerable communities ‘may not have the resources for mitigation. Insurance may be more precarious and recovery if a fire hits might be much more difficult, if not impossible,’” Inside Climate News reports.

Grasslands in the Central U.S. may also see a sharp increase in fire activity, with as many as 111 million hectares at risk of burning. 

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