How Vacating Seniors Will Crash the Housing Market

The great senior sell-off, rising household sizes, dropping homeownership, tighter lending standards, and other reasons why the next decade will be a disaster for homebuilders, writes Robert Steuteville.

1 minute read

April 29, 2011, 9:00 AM PDT

By Tim Halbur


Arthur C. Nelson, an urban planning professor at the University of Utah, spoke on the housing market recently at the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy in Cambridge, Massachusetts. Nelson says one of the problems with the future of the U.S.'s housing stock is that when seniors leave single-family homes, the market is no longer there to fill them:

"When those 65 and older move, 80 percent vacate single-family houses, but only 41 percent move into single-family units. The rest - 59 percent - move into multifamily buildings for a variety of reasons such as low maintenance and proximity to services. That's a huge shift coming from the decade's fastest growing demographic group."

Thanks to Robert Steuteville

Thursday, April 28, 2011 in New Urban Network

portrait of professional woman

I love the variety of courses, many practical, and all richly illustrated. They have inspired many ideas that I've applied in practice, and in my own teaching. Mary G., Urban Planner

I love the variety of courses, many practical, and all richly illustrated. They have inspired many ideas that I've applied in practice, and in my own teaching.

Mary G., Urban Planner

Get top-rated, practical training

Front of White House with stormy sky above.

How the Trump Presidency Could Impact Urban Planning

An analysis of potential changes in federal housing, transportation, and climate policies.

January 19, 2025 - Planetizen

String lights across an alley in Cranford, New Jersey at night.

Midburbs: A New Definition of Suburbs

When the name “suburb” just doesn't quite fit.

January 17, 2025 - Gabe Bailer - PP - AICP - NJ Urbanthinker

Black bollards lining a curved sidewalk next to a cobblestone street.

Why Aren’t There More Bollards in US Cities?

Solid barriers, like the dormant ones in New Orleans, are commonly used to improve road safety in Europe. Why not here?

January 17, 2025 - MinnPost

Electric road digger on street construction site in London, UK.

E-diggers Pave Way for Cleaner, Greener, Quieter London

London power workers are trialing zero-emission electric diggers that remove more than 200 tonnes of CO2 emissions and 75% of noise pollution from their work in the capital. 

January 22 - UK Power Networks

Smoky sky overlooking Los Angeles skyline during 2025 wildfires.

While California Fires Burn On, Residents Take on Rent Gouging

Residents have already seen online listings skyrocketing in price—despite laws against such hikes. With fires still raging, LA and Pasadena tenants are demanding protections against rent raises and eviction.

January 22 - Shelterforce Magazine

The historic San Diego City and County Administration Building in Southern California.

San Diego Housing Assistance, Homelessness Programs Facing Major Cuts

Programs supported by federal and state programs are on the brink of losing funding, putting thousands of homeless and at-risk residents in jeopardy.

January 22 - Governing