Record U.S. Oil Production Assures Low Gas Prices Through 2016

Oil prices plummeted 60 percent since last summer, yet American crude output will reach a record this year according to the Energy Information Administration's Fall Short-Term Energy Outlook. Gas prices will drop about 35 cents this year.

1 minute read

June 14, 2015, 5:00 AM PDT

By Irvin Dawid


"Total U.S. crude oil production is expected to average 9.4 million barrels a day this year and 9.3 million barrels a day for 2016, the EIA report said," writes Rick Jervis of USA Today on the outlook. "Those are higher estimates than the EIA released last month."

What's remarkable about the record output—"highest for any month since 1972", is that it is occurring after a huge drop in oil prices.

The price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude has ricocheted from more than $100 last summer to $40 in January to $60 this week [and forecasted] to average $55 a barrel this year and $62 a barrel in 2016, according to the report.

"The numbers run counter to conventional thinking that lower oil prices would severely drive down U.S. production," writes Jervis. In fact, energy companies are reducing drilling - fewer rigs are in service, but they've become more efficient and productive with the remaining ones.

One result of the record crude production is that gasoline prices will remain relatively low through 2016. "The EIA expects monthly average gasoline prices to decline the rest of the year, averaging $2.43 a gallon during the second half of 2015," writes Jervis. According to the AAA, gas prices average $2.78 on June 12.

Tuesday, June 9, 2015 in USA Today

Young Professional

I love the variety of courses, many practical, and all richly illustrated. They have inspired many ideas that I've applied in practice, and in my own teaching. Mary G., Urban and Environmental Planner

I love the variety of courses, many practical, and all richly illustrated. They have inspired many ideas that I've applied in practice, and in my own teaching.

Mary G., Urban and Environmental Planner

Get top-rated, practical training for planners

"Planetizen federal action tracker" logo superimposed over black and white image of US Capitol dome.

Planetizen Federal Action Tracker

A weekly monitor of how Trump’s orders and actions are impacting planners and planning in America.

September 16, 2026 - Zachary Whalen

Passengers board an Amtrak train under a cloudy sky.

Amtrak, CN end decades-long dispute with eight-year agreement

The new operating agreement establishes an updated framework for the companies to work together, including processes to resolve disputes.

September 18, 2026 - Mass Transit

The Gross Reservoir, a large body of water surrounded by trees and mountains.

Judges permit Denver to divert 77,000 acre feet from the Colorado River for reservoir expansion

Overuse and climate change have caused the Colorado River’s water levels to plummet.

September 18, 2026 - Inside Climate News

A Florida family with their belongings in a wagon walks past a destroyed storm after a hurricane.

How ‘post-disaster gentrification’ alters neighborhoods after natural calamities

After hurricanes, fires or other calamities, the original residents of a community are often replaced by younger, wealthier residents.

15 minutes ago - Inside Climate News

A person crossing a street under hanging traffic lights in Maryland.

Maryland local governments examine if they should have more power to raise property taxes

Maryland’s housing market is out of reach for the majority of moderate-income residents.

1 hour ago - Baltimore Sun

An Airo train driving towards the camera on a track. There is a forest behind it.

Northwest rail fans eager for Sept. 30 debut of Amtrak’s Airo fleet

Get ready for that new train smell and more seats. But they won’t go faster or run more frequently on the Cascades route in Washington and Oregon.

2 hours ago - Washington State Standard