A few days ago, someone asked a question on one of my listservs about the likely impact of America’s economic crises upon urbanism. The best answer is: it depends.
A few days ago, someone asked a question on one of my listservs about the likely impact of America's economic crises upon urbanism.
The best answer is: it depends.
A few months ago, the economic crisis centered around foreclosures and rising oil prices. As oil prices rose, commuting by car became more expensive, driving declined, and public transit ridership rose. And even drivers wanted shorter commutes, thus making city life (or at least life in built-out, job-rich suburbs) more desirable. To be sure, many commuters adjusted to these trends by purchasing more fuel-efficient cars. But given the heavy one-time cost of switching cars, it was apparently more efficient for some commuters to move closer to work or avoid driving altogether.
But today, we appear to be on the verge of a broader recession. Traditionally, recessions reduce transit ridership, for a couple of reasons. First, a recession means fewer commuters, which means fewer transit riders. Second, a recession usually means declining state and local tax revenues, which means less money for public transit, which in turn usually means less transit service. Since car-free commutes are a major advantage of urban life, transit service reductions make urban life less appealing relative to suburban life.
And if reduced economic activity continues to lower oil prices by lowering demand for oil, driving might become more convenient again. Furthermore, if declining revenues go far enough to endanger public spending on police and prisons, crime might rise. And because cities already suffer more from violent crime than suburbs, increased criminal activity might widen suburbs' safety advantage.
Thus, the continued recovery of cities is no longer a given. A serious recession is bad for urbanism- rising oil prices much less so. The future of transit-oriented urbanism depends on which trend is stronger over the next few years.

Planetizen Federal Action Tracker
A weekly monitor of how Trump’s orders and actions are impacting planners and planning in America.

Chicago’s Ghost Rails
Just beneath the surface of the modern city lie the remnants of its expansive early 20th-century streetcar system.

Amtrak Cutting Jobs, Funding to High-Speed Rail
The agency plans to cut 10 percent of its workforce and has confirmed it will not fund new high-speed rail projects.

Ohio Forces Data Centers to Prepay for Power
Utilities are calling on states to hold data center operators responsible for new energy demands to prevent leaving consumers on the hook for their bills.

MARTA CEO Steps Down Amid Citizenship Concerns
MARTA’s board announced Thursday that its chief, who is from Canada, is resigning due to questions about his immigration status.

Silicon Valley ‘Bike Superhighway’ Awarded $14M State Grant
A Caltrans grant brings the 10-mile Central Bikeway project connecting Santa Clara and East San Jose closer to fruition.
Urban Design for Planners 1: Software Tools
This six-course series explores essential urban design concepts using open source software and equips planners with the tools they need to participate fully in the urban design process.
Planning for Universal Design
Learn the tools for implementing Universal Design in planning regulations.
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