Once again the Texas Transportation Institute (TTI) published its annual Urban Mobility Report (UMR), and once again I feel obliged to warn planners that it is based on faulty assumptions and biased analysis methods. This is not to deny that traffic congestion is a significant problem, but the UMR significantly exaggerates its importance compared with other transport costs and exaggerates roadway expansion benefits.
The report's major errors and biases are summarized below. For more information see my recent study, Smart Congestion Relief: Comprehensive Analysis Of Traffic Congestion Costs and Congestion Reduction Benefits, and Joe Cortright's report, Driven Apart: How Sprawl is Lengthening Our Commutes and Why Misleading Mobility Measures are Making Things Worse. For even more detailed information see Grant-Muller and Laird's International Literature Review of the Costs of Road Traffic Congestion.
The TTI report reflects the old transport planning paradigm, which assumes that transportation means driving, so transportation problem means a constraint on driving, and transportation improvement means easier and faster driving. The new paradigm recognizes that driving is just on form of transport, there are many types of transport problems, and there are many ways to improve transport. Even using the TTI's own estimate that U.S. urban traffic congestion costs $101 billion annually, congestion ranks as a moderate cost overall, far less than vehicle, accident and parking subsidy costs, and about equal to pollution costs. This means, for example, that it would be economically inefficient to implement a strategy that reduced congestion by 20% if doing so increases total vehicle expenses, crash damages or parking costs by just 5%, but a congestion reduction strategy becomes far more cost effective if it provides even modest reductions in these other costs.
Even using upper-bound congestion cost estimates, congestion ranks as a moderate costs overall.
These criticisms have been raised in previous years by myself, economist Joe Cortright, and others. If the UMR was a serious study it would include detailed discussion of these criticisms. Ignoring these issues indicates that TTI willingly promotes inaccurate analysis and ignores other perspectives.
For more information see:
Md Aftabuzzaman, Graham Currie and Majid Sarvi (2010), "Evaluating the Congestion Relief Impacts of Public Transport in Monetary Terms," Journal of Public Transportation, Vol. 13, No. 1, pp. 1-24; at www.nctr.usf.edu/jpt/pdf/JPT13-1.pdf. Also see, "Exploring The Underlying Dimensions Of Elements Affecting Traffic Congestion Relief Impact Of Transit," Cities, Vol. 28, Is. 1 (www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/02642751), February 2011, Pages 36-44.
Robert L. Bertini (2005), You Are the Traffic Jam: An Examination of Congestion Measures, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Portland State University, TRB Annual Meeting (www.trb.org); at www.its.pdx.edu/pdf/congestion_trb.pdf.
Joe Cortright (2010), Driven Apart: How Sprawl is Lengthening Our Commutes and Why Misleading Mobility Measures are Making Things Worse, CEOs for Cities (www.ceosforcities.org); at www.ceosforcities.org/work/driven-apart.
Susan Grant-Muller and James Laird (2007), International Literature Review of the Costs of Road Traffic Congestion, Scottish Executive (www.scotland.gov.uk); at www.scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2006/11/01103351/0.
Todd Litman (2001), "Generated Traffic; Implications for Transport Planning," ITE Journal, Vol. 71, No. 4, Institute of Transportation Engineers (www.ite.org), April, pp. 38-47; at www.vtpi.org/gentraf.pdf.
Todd Litman (2006), The Future Isn't What It Used To Be: Changing Trends And Their Implications For Transport Planning, Victoria Transport Policy Institute (www.vtpi.org); at www.vtpi.org/future.pdf; originally published as "Changing Travel Demand: Implications for Transport Planning," ITE Journal, Vol. 76, No. 9, (www.ite.org), September, pp. 27-33.
Todd Litman (2009), "Congestion Costs," Transportation Cost and Benefit Analysis, Victoria Transport Policy Institute (www.vtpi.org/tca).
Theofanis Mamuneas and Ishaq Nadiri (2006), "Production, Consumption and Rates of Return to Highway Infrastructure Capital," at http://editorialexpress.com/cgi-bin/conference/download.cgi?db_name=IIPF62&paper_id=11.
Nelson\Nygaard (2006), Traffic Reduction Strategies Study, Report and various appendices, City of Pasadena (www.cityofpasadena.net); at www.cityofpasadena.net/councilagendas/2007%20agendas/Feb_26_07/Pasadena%20Traffic%20Reduction%20Strategies%2011-20-06%20DRAFT.pdf.
Transport Canada (2006), The Cost Of Urban Congestion In Canada, Transport Canada (www.tc.gc.ca); at www.tc.gc.ca/pol/en/acs/EconomicAnalysis/docs/summary.pdf.
TTI (annual reports), Urban Mobility Study, Texas Transportation Institute (http://mobility.tamu.edu/ums).