Fast Growth Doesn't Necessarily Lead to Prosperity

A recent report shows that fast growing cities had lower incomes and bigger income drops during the recession. Mary Newsom digests the report and delves into what it means for cities looking forward.

The results of the report challenge conventional wisdom, and Newsom writes that cities might be best served by thinking twice about pinning prosperity solely on growth.

"Fodor looked at 2000-2009 data and found that on a series of measures, fast-growing cities were less prosperous than slow-growing ones. Fast-growing cities had lower incomes and during the Great Recession (i.e. 2007-09) saw greater income drops. He found no correlation between growth rate and unemployment.

I have some quibbles with his methods: His report doesn't appear to have looked at whether fast-growing cities might, until the recession slammed them, have had greater income growth. Many of the fast-growing cities are in the South, where incomes were lower to start with and where the recession has hit particularly hard.

But Fodor's point is that this bedrock assumption that growth automatically brings prosperity might not be true after all."

Full Story: Oops! Fast City Growth May = Lower Incomes

Comments

Comments

Sloppy Use of Word "Growth"

As far as I can see, she never says whether she is talking about population growth, economic growth, or some other form of growth.

Charles Siegel

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