Are Passenger-Miles a Valid Measure of Anything?

Michael Lewyn's picture
Blogger

Every so often, one sees an article arguing that one mode of transportation is cheaper, more efficient, or less dangerous than another because it uses less energy/kills more people/costs more per passenger-mile. (1)

It seems to me, however, that per passenger-mile comparisions are flawed in one key respect: they assume that trips on any mode of transportation will involve the same mileage, so that if the average driver lives 20 miles from work, the average bus rider will also live 20 miles from work.

This assumption does not square with empirical reality. In the real world, people who live far from work tend to drive more often than people will live closer to work; the combination of long distances and the existence of multiple stops makes public transit far less convenient for someone who lives 10 miles from work than for someone who lives 2 miles from work. This is true even where transit service extends far into suburbia. For example, in Toronto, which has a long-distance commuter train system, 58 percent of commuters living less than 1 kilometer (0.6 miles) from work use non-automotive transport, as opposed to 35 percent living 1-4 kilometers (0.6 miles to 2.5 miles) away, and only 22 percent living more than 15 kilometers (9 miles) away.

In cities lacking long-distance commuter train systems, the differences between short-distance and long-distance commuters are even greater. In Edmonton, for example, 25 percent of people living 1-4 kilometers from work commute by foot, transit or bike, as opposed to only 2 percent of people living 15 kilometers or more from work.(2)

So in the real world of city planning, our choices are not between a city of 20-mile bus commutes and a city of 20-mile car commute. Rather, our choice is: do we want to make cities more compact, thus increasing the number of short commutes (some of which will typically involve transit, for the reasons stated above) or do we want to create a relatively spread-out city with lots of long commutes (most of which will usually be by car)?

In the compact city, fewer passenger-miles will be traveled, which means that all the negative externalities of travel (e.g. pollution, collisions, public costs) will be lower. And because people will be somewhat more likely to use transit and carpool, both cars and transit vehicles will be more fuel-efficient, because cars and buses are more fuel-efficient when they have more passengers. By contrast, in the car-oriented, spread-out city, both car and transit commutes will typically be longer, and both cars and buses will have fewer passengers.

(1) For anti-transit examples, see http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=9325 http://saveportland.com/Car_Vs_Tri-Met/energy-cost-death-02d.htm ; for a pro-transit example, see http://hugeasscity.com/2009/03/22/your-co2-emissions-per-mile-may-vary/


(2) http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/english/census06/analysis/pow/pdf/97-561-XIE2006001.pdf at 34-35.

Michael Lewyn is an assistant professor at Touro Law Center in Long Island.

Comments

Comments

Energy/kills

"energy/kills" - was that intentional? It would be sure useful to measure the efficiency of using a personal automobile as a weapon of mass destruction.

Passenger mile comparisons are a flawed measure

Michael Lewyn's point that comparing a 20-mile bus commute to a 20-mile automobile commute is not really the point as far as city or metropolitan planning is concerned is right on. In addition an August 2007 National Household Travel Survey Brief (see http://nhts.ornl.gov/briefs/Congestion%20-%20Peak%20Travelers.pdf) cited the fact that " . . . average weekday, non-work travel now constitutes 56 percent of trips during the AM peak and 69 percent of trips during the PM peak." So, a more compact suburban form is likely to offer the opportunity to shift many of such trips into non-automobile modes, particularly walking and biking. These will be very short trips, further reinforcing the point that the appropriate measurement is not passenger miles traveled.

Furthermore, in AAA's 2008

Furthermore, in AAA's 2008 Driving Costs report, the composite cost per mile average for driving climbed from 62.1¢ per mile in 2007 to 71¢ per mile (about $10,000/year), and reducing an individual’s VMT by increasing appropriate mixed-use density will free up disposable income that can be spent elsewhere, like for actual goods and services locally.

David Parvo
Most Senior Fellow
The Placemaking Institute
http://placemakinginstitute.wordpress.com/2010/01/15/a-truer-cost-of-spr...

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